# Compute the two-sided one-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Prob(Dn <= d) where: # D_n = sup_x{|F_n(x) - F(x)|}, # F_n(x) is the empirical CDF for a sample of size n {x_i: i=1,...,n}, # F(x) is the CDF of a probability distribution. # # Exact methods: # Prob(D_n >= d) can be computed via a matrix algorithm of Durbin[1] # or a recursion algorithm due to Pomeranz[2]. # Marsaglia, Tsang & Wang[3] gave a computation-efficient way to perform # the Durbin algorithm. # D_n >= d <==> D_n+ >= d or D_n- >= d (the one-sided K-S statistics), hence # Prob(D_n >= d) = 2*Prob(D_n+ >= d) - Prob(D_n+ >= d and D_n- >= d). # For d > 0.5, the latter intersection probability is 0. # # Approximate methods: # For d close to 0.5, ignoring that intersection term may still give a # reasonable approximation. # Li-Chien[4] and Korolyuk[5] gave an asymptotic formula extending # Kolmogorov's initial asymptotic, suitable for large d. (See # scipy.special.kolmogorov for that asymptotic) # Pelz-Good[6] used the functional equation for Jacobi theta functions to # transform the Li-Chien/Korolyuk formula produce a computational formula # suitable for small d. # # Simard and L'Ecuyer[7] provided an algorithm to decide when to use each of # the above approaches and it is that which is used here. # # Other approaches: # Carvalho[8] optimizes Durbin's matrix algorithm for large values of d. # Moscovich and Nadler[9] use FFTs to compute the convolutions. # References: # [1] Durbin J (1968). # "The Probability that the Sample Distribution Function Lies Between Two # Parallel Straight Lines." # Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 39, 398-411. # [2] Pomeranz J (1974). # "Exact Cumulative Distribution of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic for # Small Samples (Algorithm 487)." # Communications of the ACM, 17(12), 703-704. # [3] Marsaglia G, Tsang WW, Wang J (2003). # "Evaluating Kolmogorov's Distribution." # Journal of Statistical Software, 8(18), 1-4. # [4] LI-CHIEN, C. (1956). # "On the exact distribution of the statistics of A. N. Kolmogorov and # their asymptotic expansion." # Acta Matematica Sinica, 6, 55-81. # [5] KOROLYUK, V. S. (1960). # "Asymptotic analysis of the distribution of the maximum deviation in # the Bernoulli scheme." # Theor. Probability Appl., 4, 339-366. # [6] Pelz W, Good IJ (1976). # "Approximating the Lower Tail-areas of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov One-sample # Statistic." # Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 38(2), 152-156. # [7] Simard, R., L'Ecuyer, P. (2011) # "Computing the Two-Sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov Distribution", # Journal of Statistical Software, Vol 39, 11, 1-18. # [8] Carvalho, Luis (2015) # "An Improved Evaluation of Kolmogorov's Distribution" # Journal of Statistical Software, Code Snippets; Vol 65(3), 1-8. # [9] Amit Moscovich, Boaz Nadler (2017) # "Fast calculation of boundary crossing probabilities for Poisson # processes", # Statistics & Probability Letters, Vol 123, 177-182. import numpy as np import scipy.special import scipy.special._ufuncs as scu import scipy.misc _E128 = 128 _EP128 = np.ldexp(np.longdouble(1), _E128) _EM128 = np.ldexp(np.longdouble(1), -_E128) _SQRT2PI = np.sqrt(2 * np.pi) _LOG_2PI = np.log(2 * np.pi) _MIN_LOG = -708 _SQRT3 = np.sqrt(3) _PI_SQUARED = np.pi ** 2 _PI_FOUR = np.pi ** 4 _PI_SIX = np.pi ** 6 # [Lifted from _loggamma.pxd.] If B_m are the Bernoulli numbers, # then Stirling coeffs are B_{2j}/(2j)/(2j-1) for j=8,...1. _STIRLING_COEFFS = [-2.955065359477124183e-2, 6.4102564102564102564e-3, -1.9175269175269175269e-3, 8.4175084175084175084e-4, -5.952380952380952381e-4, 7.9365079365079365079e-4, -2.7777777777777777778e-3, 8.3333333333333333333e-2] def _log_nfactorial_div_n_pow_n(n): # Computes n! / n**n # = (n-1)! / n**(n-1) # Uses Stirling's approximation, but removes n*log(n) up-front to # avoid subtractive cancellation. # = log(n)/2 - n + log(sqrt(2pi)) + sum B_{2j}/(2j)/(2j-1)/n**(2j-1) rn = 1.0/n return np.log(n)/2 - n + _LOG_2PI/2 + rn * np.polyval(_STIRLING_COEFFS, rn/n) def _clip_prob(p): """clips a probability to range 0<=p<=1.""" return np.clip(p, 0.0, 1.0) def _select_and_clip_prob(cdfprob, sfprob, cdf=True): """Selects either the CDF or SF, and then clips to range 0<=p<=1.""" p = np.where(cdf, cdfprob, sfprob) return _clip_prob(p) def _kolmogn_DMTW(n, d, cdf=True): r"""Computes the Kolmogorov CDF: Pr(D_n <= d) using the MTW approach to the Durbin matrix algorithm. Durbin (1968); Marsaglia, Tsang, Wang (2003). [1], [3]. """ # Write d = (k-h)/n, where k is positive integer and 0 <= h < 1 # Generate initial matrix H of size m*m where m=(2k-1) # Compute k-th row of (n!/n^n) * H^n, scaling intermediate results. # Requires memory O(m^2) and computation O(m^2 log(n)). # Most suitable for small m. if d >= 1.0: return _select_and_clip_prob(1.0, 0.0, cdf) nd = n * d if nd <= 0.5: return _select_and_clip_prob(0.0, 1.0, cdf) k = int(np.ceil(nd)) h = k - nd m = 2 * k - 1 H = np.zeros([m, m]) # Initialize: v is first column (and last row) of H # v[j] = (1-h^(j+1)/(j+1)! (except for v[-1]) # w[j] = 1/(j)! # q = k-th row of H (actually i!/n^i*H^i) intm = np.arange(1, m + 1) v = 1.0 - h ** intm w = np.zeros(m) fac = 1.0 for j in intm: w[j - 1] = fac fac /= j # This might underflow. Isn't a problem. v[j - 1] *= fac tt = max(2 * h - 1.0, 0)**m - 2*h**m v[-1] = (1.0 + tt) * fac for i in range(1, m): H[i - 1:, i] = w[:m - i + 1] H[:, 0] = v H[-1, :] = np.flip(v, axis=0) Hpwr = np.eye(np.shape(H)[0]) # Holds intermediate powers of H nn = n expnt = 0 # Scaling of Hpwr Hexpnt = 0 # Scaling of H while nn > 0: if nn % 2: Hpwr = np.matmul(Hpwr, H) expnt += Hexpnt H = np.matmul(H, H) Hexpnt *= 2 # Scale as needed. if np.abs(H[k - 1, k - 1]) > _EP128: H /= _EP128 Hexpnt += _E128 nn = nn // 2 p = Hpwr[k - 1, k - 1] # Multiply by n!/n^n for i in range(1, n + 1): p = i * p / n if np.abs(p) < _EM128: p *= _EP128 expnt -= _E128 # unscale if expnt != 0: p = np.ldexp(p, expnt) return _select_and_clip_prob(p, 1.0-p, cdf) def _pomeranz_compute_j1j2(i, n, ll, ceilf, roundf): """Compute the endpoints of the interval for row i.""" if i == 0: j1, j2 = -ll - ceilf - 1, ll + ceilf - 1 else: # i + 1 = 2*ip1div2 + ip1mod2 ip1div2, ip1mod2 = divmod(i + 1, 2) if ip1mod2 == 0: # i is odd if ip1div2 == n + 1: j1, j2 = n - ll - ceilf - 1, n + ll + ceilf - 1 else: j1, j2 = ip1div2 - 1 - ll - roundf - 1, ip1div2 + ll - 1 + ceilf - 1 else: j1, j2 = ip1div2 - 1 - ll - 1, ip1div2 + ll + roundf - 1 return max(j1 + 2, 0), min(j2, n) def _kolmogn_Pomeranz(n, x, cdf=True): r"""Computes Pr(D_n <= d) using the Pomeranz recursion algorithm. Pomeranz (1974) [2] """ # V is n*(2n+2) matrix. # Each row is convolution of the previous row and probabilities from a # Poisson distribution. # Desired CDF probability is n! V[n-1, 2n+1] (final entry in final row). # Only two rows are needed at any given stage: # - Call them V0 and V1. # - Swap each iteration # Only a few (contiguous) entries in each row can be non-zero. # - Keep track of start and end (j1 and j2 below) # - V0s and V1s track the start in the two rows # Scale intermediate results as needed. # Only a few different Poisson distributions can occur t = n * x ll = int(np.floor(t)) f = 1.0 * (t - ll) # fractional part of t g = min(f, 1.0 - f) ceilf = (1 if f > 0 else 0) roundf = (1 if f > 0.5 else 0) npwrs = 2 * (ll + 1) # Maximum number of powers needed in convolutions gpower = np.zeros(npwrs) # gpower = (g/n)^m/m! twogpower = np.zeros(npwrs) # twogpower = (2g/n)^m/m! onem2gpower = np.zeros(npwrs) # onem2gpower = ((1-2g)/n)^m/m! # gpower etc are *almost* Poisson probs, just missing normalizing factor. gpower[0] = 1.0 twogpower[0] = 1.0 onem2gpower[0] = 1.0 expnt = 0 g_over_n, two_g_over_n, one_minus_two_g_over_n = g/n, 2*g/n, (1 - 2*g)/n for m in range(1, npwrs): gpower[m] = gpower[m - 1] * g_over_n / m twogpower[m] = twogpower[m - 1] * two_g_over_n / m onem2gpower[m] = onem2gpower[m - 1] * one_minus_two_g_over_n / m V0 = np.zeros([npwrs]) V1 = np.zeros([npwrs]) V1[0] = 1 # first row V0s, V1s = 0, 0 # start indices of the two rows j1, j2 = _pomeranz_compute_j1j2(0, n, ll, ceilf, roundf) for i in range(1, 2 * n + 2): # Preserve j1, V1, V1s, V0s from last iteration k1 = j1 V0, V1 = V1, V0 V0s, V1s = V1s, V0s V1.fill(0.0) j1, j2 = _pomeranz_compute_j1j2(i, n, ll, ceilf, roundf) if i == 1 or i == 2 * n + 1: pwrs = gpower else: pwrs = (twogpower if i % 2 else onem2gpower) ln2 = j2 - k1 + 1 if ln2 > 0: conv = np.convolve(V0[k1 - V0s:k1 - V0s + ln2], pwrs[:ln2]) conv_start = j1 - k1 # First index to use from conv conv_len = j2 - j1 + 1 # Number of entries to use from conv V1[:conv_len] = conv[conv_start:conv_start + conv_len] # Scale to avoid underflow. if 0 < np.max(V1) < _EM128: V1 *= _EP128 expnt -= _E128 V1s = V0s + j1 - k1 # multiply by n! ans = V1[n - V1s] for m in range(1, n + 1): if np.abs(ans) > _EP128: ans *= _EM128 expnt += _E128 ans *= m # Undo any intermediate scaling if expnt != 0: ans = np.ldexp(ans, expnt) ans = _select_and_clip_prob(ans, 1.0 - ans, cdf) return ans def _kolmogn_PelzGood(n, x, cdf=True): """Computes the Pelz-Good approximation to Prob(Dn <= x) with 0<=x<=1. Start with Li-Chien, Korolyuk approximation: Prob(Dn <= x) ~ K0(z) + K1(z)/sqrt(n) + K2(z)/n + K3(z)/n**1.5 where z = x*sqrt(n). Transform each K_(z) using Jacobi theta functions into a form suitable for small z. Pelz-Good (1976). [6] """ if x <= 0.0: return _select_and_clip_prob(0.0, 1.0, cdf=cdf) if x >= 1.0: return _select_and_clip_prob(1.0, 0.0, cdf=cdf) z = np.sqrt(n) * x zsquared, zthree, zfour, zsix = z**2, z**3, z**4, z**6 qlog = -_PI_SQUARED / 8 / zsquared if qlog < _MIN_LOG: # z ~ 0.041743441416853426 return _select_and_clip_prob(0.0, 1.0, cdf=cdf) q = np.exp(qlog) # Coefficients of terms in the sums for K1, K2 and K3 k1a = -zsquared k1b = _PI_SQUARED / 4 k2a = 6 * zsix + 2 * zfour k2b = (2 * zfour - 5 * zsquared) * _PI_SQUARED / 4 k2c = _PI_FOUR * (1 - 2 * zsquared) / 16 k3d = _PI_SIX * (5 - 30 * zsquared) / 64 k3c = _PI_FOUR * (-60 * zsquared + 212 * zfour) / 16 k3b = _PI_SQUARED * (135 * zfour - 96 * zsix) / 4 k3a = -30 * zsix - 90 * z**8 K0to3 = np.zeros(4) # Use a Horner scheme to evaluate sum c_i q^(i^2) # Reduces to a sum over odd integers. maxk = int(np.ceil(16 * z / np.pi)) for k in range(maxk, 0, -1): m = 2 * k - 1 msquared, mfour, msix = m**2, m**4, m**6 qpower = np.power(q, 8 * k) coeffs = np.array([1.0, k1a + k1b*msquared, k2a + k2b*msquared + k2c*mfour, k3a + k3b*msquared + k3c*mfour + k3d*msix]) K0to3 *= qpower K0to3 += coeffs K0to3 *= q K0to3 *= _SQRT2PI # z**10 > 0 as z > 0.04 K0to3 /= np.array([z, 6 * zfour, 72 * z**7, 6480 * z**10]) # Now do the other sum over the other terms, all integers k # K_2: (pi^2 k^2) q^(k^2), # K_3: (3pi^2 k^2 z^2 - pi^4 k^4)*q^(k^2) # Don't expect much subtractive cancellation so use direct calculation q = np.exp(-_PI_SQUARED / 2 / zsquared) ks = np.arange(maxk, 0, -1) ksquared = ks ** 2 sqrt3z = _SQRT3 * z kspi = np.pi * ks qpwers = q ** ksquared k2extra = np.sum(ksquared * qpwers) k2extra *= _PI_SQUARED * _SQRT2PI/(-36 * zthree) K0to3[2] += k2extra k3extra = np.sum((sqrt3z + kspi) * (sqrt3z - kspi) * ksquared * qpwers) k3extra *= _PI_SQUARED * _SQRT2PI/(216 * zsix) K0to3[3] += k3extra powers_of_n = np.power(n * 1.0, np.arange(len(K0to3)) / 2.0) K0to3 /= powers_of_n if not cdf: K0to3 *= -1 K0to3[0] += 1 Ksum = sum(K0to3) return Ksum def _kolmogn(n, x, cdf=True): """Computes the CDF(or SF) for the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic. x must be of type float, n of type integer. Simard & L'Ecuyer (2011) [7]. """ if np.isnan(n): return n # Keep the same type of nan if int(n) != n or n <= 0: return np.nan if x >= 1.0: return _select_and_clip_prob(1.0, 0.0, cdf=cdf) if x <= 0.0: return _select_and_clip_prob(0.0, 1.0, cdf=cdf) t = n * x if t <= 1.0: # Ruben-Gambino: 1/2n <= x <= 1/n if t <= 0.5: return _select_and_clip_prob(0.0, 1.0, cdf=cdf) if n <= 140: prob = np.prod(np.arange(1, n+1) * (1.0/n) * (2*t - 1)) else: prob = np.exp(_log_nfactorial_div_n_pow_n(n) + n * np.log(2*t-1)) return _select_and_clip_prob(prob, 1.0 - prob, cdf=cdf) if t >= n - 1: # Ruben-Gambino prob = 2 * (1.0 - x)**n return _select_and_clip_prob(1 - prob, prob, cdf=cdf) if x >= 0.5: # Exact: 2 * smirnov prob = 2 * scipy.special.smirnov(n, x) return _select_and_clip_prob(1.0 - prob, prob, cdf=cdf) nxsquared = t * x if n <= 140: if nxsquared <= 0.754693: prob = _kolmogn_DMTW(n, x, cdf=True) return _select_and_clip_prob(prob, 1.0 - prob, cdf=cdf) if nxsquared <= 4: prob = _kolmogn_Pomeranz(n, x, cdf=True) return _select_and_clip_prob(prob, 1.0 - prob, cdf=cdf) # Now use Miller approximation of 2*smirnov prob = 2 * scipy.special.smirnov(n, x) return _select_and_clip_prob(1.0 - prob, prob, cdf=cdf) # Split CDF and SF as they have different cutoffs on nxsquared. if not cdf: if nxsquared >= 370.0: return 0.0 if nxsquared >= 2.2: prob = 2 * scipy.special.smirnov(n, x) return _clip_prob(prob) # Fall through and compute the SF as 1.0-CDF if nxsquared >= 18.0: cdfprob = 1.0 elif n <= 100000 and n * x**1.5 <= 1.4: cdfprob = _kolmogn_DMTW(n, x, cdf=True) else: cdfprob = _kolmogn_PelzGood(n, x, cdf=True) return _select_and_clip_prob(cdfprob, 1.0 - cdfprob, cdf=cdf) def _kolmogn_p(n, x): """Computes the PDF for the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic. x must be of type float, n of type integer. """ if np.isnan(n): return n # Keep the same type of nan if int(n) != n or n <= 0: return np.nan if x >= 1.0 or x <= 0: return 0 t = n * x if t <= 1.0: # Ruben-Gambino: n!/n^n * (2t-1)^n -> 2 n!/n^n * n^2 * (2t-1)^(n-1) if t <= 0.5: return 0.0 if n <= 140: prd = np.prod(np.arange(1, n) * (1.0 / n) * (2 * t - 1)) else: prd = np.exp(_log_nfactorial_div_n_pow_n(n) + (n-1) * np.log(2 * t - 1)) return prd * 2 * n**2 if t >= n - 1: # Ruben-Gambino : 1-2(1-x)**n -> 2n*(1-x)**(n-1) return 2 * (1.0 - x) ** (n-1) * n if x >= 0.5: return 2 * scipy.stats.ksone.pdf(x, n) # Just take a small delta. # Ideally x +/- delta would stay within [i/n, (i+1)/n] for some integer a. # as the CDF is a piecewise degree n polynomial. # It has knots at 1/n, 2/n, ... (n-1)/n # and is not a C-infinity function at the knots delta = x / 2.0**16 delta = min(delta, x - 1.0/n) delta = min(delta, 0.5 - x) def _kk(_x): return kolmogn(n, _x) return scipy.misc.derivative(_kk, x, dx=delta, order=5) def _kolmogni(n, p, q): """Computes the PPF/ISF of kolmogn. n of type integer, n>= 1 p is the CDF, q the SF, p+q=1 """ if np.isnan(n): return n # Keep the same type of nan if int(n) != n or n <= 0: return np.nan if p <= 0: return 1.0/n if q <= 0: return 1.0 delta = np.exp((np.log(p) - scipy.special.loggamma(n+1))/n) if delta <= 1.0/n: return (delta + 1.0 / n) / 2 x = -np.expm1(np.log(q/2.0)/n) if x >= 1 - 1.0/n: return x x1 = scu._kolmogci(p)/np.sqrt(n) x1 = min(x1, 1.0 - 1.0/n) _f = lambda x: _kolmogn(n, x) - p return scipy.optimize.brentq(_f, 1.0/n, x1, xtol=1e-14) def kolmogn(n, x, cdf=True): """Computes the CDF for the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov distribution. The two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov distribution has as its CDF Pr(D_n <= x), for a sample of size n drawn from a distribution with CDF F(t), where D_n &= sup_t |F_n(t) - F(t)|, and F_n(t) is the Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function of the sample. Parameters ---------- n : integer, array_like the number of samples x : float, array_like The K-S statistic, float between 0 and 1 cdf : bool, optional whether to compute the CDF(default=true) or the SF. Returns ------- cdf : ndarray CDF (or SF it cdf is False) at the specified locations. The return value has shape the result of numpy broadcasting n and x. """ it = np.nditer([n, x, cdf, None], op_dtypes=[None, np.float64, np.bool_, np.float64]) for _n, _x, _cdf, z in it: if np.isnan(_n): z[...] = _n continue if int(_n) != _n: raise ValueError(f'n is not integral: {_n}') z[...] = _kolmogn(int(_n), _x, cdf=_cdf) result = it.operands[-1] return result def kolmognp(n, x): """Computes the PDF for the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov distribution. Parameters ---------- n : integer, array_like the number of samples x : float, array_like The K-S statistic, float between 0 and 1 Returns ------- pdf : ndarray The PDF at the specified locations The return value has shape the result of numpy broadcasting n and x. """ it = np.nditer([n, x, None]) for _n, _x, z in it: if np.isnan(_n): z[...] = _n continue if int(_n) != _n: raise ValueError(f'n is not integral: {_n}') z[...] = _kolmogn_p(int(_n), _x) result = it.operands[-1] return result def kolmogni(n, q, cdf=True): """Computes the PPF(or ISF) for the two-sided Kolmogorov-Smirnov distribution. Parameters ---------- n : integer, array_like the number of samples q : float, array_like Probabilities, float between 0 and 1 cdf : bool, optional whether to compute the PPF(default=true) or the ISF. Returns ------- ppf : ndarray PPF (or ISF if cdf is False) at the specified locations The return value has shape the result of numpy broadcasting n and x. """ it = np.nditer([n, q, cdf, None]) for _n, _q, _cdf, z in it: if np.isnan(_n): z[...] = _n continue if int(_n) != _n: raise ValueError(f'n is not integral: {_n}') _pcdf, _psf = (_q, 1-_q) if _cdf else (1-_q, _q) z[...] = _kolmogni(int(_n), _pcdf, _psf) result = it.operands[-1] return result